The Egyptian Initiative between international consensus and expected Turkish intransigence

Militia elements loyal to the Sarraj government

In turn, Arab and foreign countries continue to welcome the Egyptian initiative to solve the Libyan crisis and end the armed conflict in this country, while observers expect Turkey to continue its violations of international norms, and increase its support for terrorist militias fighting in support of their agenda to rebuild the Ottoman Empire.

On Saturday, Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi announced a comprehensive political initiative to resolve the conflict in Libya, and said in a joint press conference with the leader of the Libyan National Army, Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, and Speaker of the Libyan Parliament, Aguila Saleh, in Cairo, Fire as of Monday, June 8th. "

Al-Sisi said that the initiative stresses the necessity of "obligating foreign parties to remove mercenaries, dismantle militias and hand over their weapons, as well as completing the course of the Military 5 + 5 Commission in Geneva."

The initiative also aims to ensure "a fair representation of all three regions of Libya, in a presidential council elected by the people under the supervision of the United Nations, for the first time in the country's history."

The United States has welcomed the initiative, which aims to cease fire and help launch the political process in Libya.

"We welcome the efforts of Egypt and other countries to support a return to the UN-led political negotiations and the declaration of a ceasefire. We call on all parties to participate in good faith to stop the fighting and return to the UN-led political negotiations," the US embassy in Libya said in a statement on Twitter.

Russia also welcomed the Egyptian initiative, which it described as important to ending the crisis in Libya.

The Russian embassy in Cairo stated: "Egypt presented today an important initiative to end the crisis in Libya. We welcome all efforts aimed at settling the conflict and restoring peace in all Libyan lands."

On Saturday, French Minister of Foreign Affairs, Jean-Yves Le Drian, held consultations with his Egyptian counterpart, Sameh Shoukry, to express his support for the Egyptian initiative on ending the conflict in Libya.

According to the French Foreign Ministry statement, Le-Drian congratulated Shoukry for the efforts made by Egypt regarding the Libyan file, and welcomed the results that were aimed at the immediate cessation of hostilities and the resumption of negotiations within the framework of the Joint Military Commission.

In the Arab world, the UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation valued the "sincere endeavors led by Egyptian diplomacy with a responsible Arab sense and perseverance and capacity."

The Ministry affirmed, "The UAE stands with all efforts that seek to immediately halt the fighting in Libya, and return to the political path led by the United Nations, in a way that guarantees Libya's sovereignty away from all foreign interference."

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia welcomed "Egypt's efforts" aimed at resolving the Libyan crisis, expressing its support for Sisi's call for a ceasefire in Libya.

And Riyadh welcomed "all international efforts calling for stopping the fighting in Libya and returning to the political track, on the basis of relevant international initiatives and decisions."

For his part, Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi described the "Cairo Declaration" as an "important achievement and initiative in line with international initiatives, which must be supported to find a political solution to the Libyan crisis."

The Secretary-General of the League of Arab States, Ahmed Aboul Gheit, expressed his "appreciation for the initiative to stop the fighting in Libya and to reach an integrated political settlement to the crisis in the country."

In turn, the spokesman for the Libyan National Army, Major General Ahmed Al-Mesmari, confirmed on Saturday evening that the Egyptian initiative includes a political solution that satisfies all parties, as it provides for the amendment of the Skhirat Agreement and a new constitutional declaration.

Al-Mismari stated that the Egyptian President, Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, called, through the initiative, the international community, to assume its responsibilities towards Libya and its territorial integrity.

Despite the international consensus on the importance of the Egyptian initiative to end the Libyan crisis, observers and analysts believe that it will be met with Turkish intransigence and rejection, due to Ankara's unwillingness to find a solution to the Libyan file through peaceful political means.

Commenting on the expected Turkish response to the initiative, Khurshid Daly, an expert in Turkish affairs, explained that the Cairo Declaration contradicts Ankara's plans, as Turkey does not adopt a peace project in Libya but rather a strategy of domination, domination and occupation.

Munir Adeeb, an expert on extremist movements and international terrorism, expected that Turkey would not comply with the initiative, noting that the world's support for it would not change Ankara's position to support terrorist militias and defend its economic interests and agreements with the Fayez al-Sarraj government.

In an interview with "Sky News Arabia", Adeeb said, that Turkey's approval of the initiative represents for Recep Tayyip Erdogan's government to return to square one, and abandoning support for terrorists in Libya, which is inconsistent with the mentality of the Turkish ruler.

Upcoming Turkish escalation

Since the initiative requires all foreign entities to "remove foreign mercenaries from Libya and dismantle militias and surrender their weapons", so that the "Libyan National Army" can "carry out its security tasks", analysts believe that Turkey will resort to its usual method of responding to such initiatives, which is escalation , And try to buy time to shuffle the cards in the Libyan arena, and return things to the starting point.

On this point, the expert on Turkish affairs at the Al-Ahram Center, Karam Saeid, told Sky News Arabia that Turkey dreams of achieving victory in Libya by relying on the support of militias fighting in support of Al-Sarraj, adding that Ankara will reject any political settlement in this Arab country, and the best evidence of This is its negative response to the "IRINI mission" to monitor the implementation of the provisions of the arms embargo agreement to Libya.

Saeid continued, saying: "Turkey does not understand the language of dialogue, which was evident in Erdogan's recent statements upon receiving Fayez al-Sarraj, and his insistence on energy exploration off the Libyan coast."

As for the expert in Turkish affairs, Khurshid Deli, he believes that the Turkish response to the initiative will take an escalating form represented by increasing support in all its forms to the Saraj government, and continuing to facilitate the flow of mercenary fighters to Libya.

Khurshid told "Sky News Arabia" that Turkey's acceptance of the Egyptian initiative would be at the expense of giving up its colonial view of the region, which is unlikely, so it is likely that Ankara will play on the time factor in the hope that the militias that operate according to its orders will restore some of the sites that it lost to strikes Libyan National Army.

Khurshid added, "Erdogan's goal is to reach the oil crescent in Libya, in order to obtain funding through which to support the Sarraj government and extremist and mercenary militias."

Munir Adeeb, an expert on extremist movements and international terrorism, pointed out that Turkey's rejection of the Egyptian initiative will expose Erdogan and put Turkey in a critical situation, because the Libyan people of all walks of life will realize that the country is on the path of the Syrian scenario, and will respond strongly to Ankara, its interventions, and support for the militias.

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